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Counterfactual Perspective on the Derna Flood Di...
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Gordon Woo September 28, 2023

A downward counterfactual is a thought about the past where things turned for the worse. Most thoughts about the past are upward, how things…

Critical Infrastructure Risk Tipping Points
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Gordon Woo June 16, 2023

The devastating breach of the Soviet-era Nova Kakhovka dam on the Dnipro River in southern Ukraine in the early hours of June 6, 2023, will…

Searching for Surprise Catastrophes: The Beirut ...
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Gordon Woo September 17, 2020

The history of catastrophe modeling over the past three decades, has been punctuated sporadically by catastrophes which have caused enormous…

London Bridge Terrorism Inquests: A Counterfactu...
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Gordon Woo July 01, 2019

The inquests into the deaths of eight individuals killed in a terrorist attack on London Bridge and in Borough Market on June 3, 2017, were…

Reimagining the 1918 Pandemic
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Gordon Woo April 20, 2018

Ask any child, a world without Walt Disney would be unimaginable. Born in December 1901, Walt was sixteen years old when he caught the 1918…

Reimagining History – Counterfactual Risk Analysis
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Gordon Woo October 20, 2017

Just under ten years ago, as the global financial crisis was unfolding, the book The Black Swan emerged as the most quoted critique of the…

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