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NEWARK, CA – June 24, 2019 – Today, RMS®, a leading global risk modeling and analytics firm, announced that its Version 18.1 RMS North Atlantic Hurricane Models were approved by the Florida Commission on Hurricane Loss Projection Methodology (FCHLPM) on June 13, 2019, for use in residential rate filings with the Florida Office of Insurance Regulation. The certification applies to Version 18.1 hurricane models on both RiskLink 18.1 and the forthcoming Risk Modeler 2.1 application on Risk Intelligence (RI). This certification will be valid until November 1, 2021.

Following this approval, RMS becomes the first risk modeling and analytics firm to have its hurricane models approved by the FCHLPM on a software and cloud platform simultaneously.

“Certification by the Florida Commission is a strong indicator of the integrity of our hurricane model, its quality, and the science, data, and engineering underpinning it,” said Jeff Waters, Senior Product Manager, RMS North Atlantic Hurricane Models, “The recent updates to Version 18.1 reflect enhancements to each model component to improve the differentiation and quantification of hurricane risk throughout the Atlantic Basin.”

On April 29, 2019, RMS announced the release of its updated North Atlantic Hurricane Models in Version 18.1. Leveraging new hurricane science, data, and technology, the latest view of the hurricane risk landscape within this model incorporates the following enhancements:

  • Long-term event rate set updated to comply with the May 2017 vintage of the National Hurricane Center’s Hurricane Database (HURDAT2) data
  • New medium-term rate forecast for 2019-2023 informed by data-driven and methodological enhancements, including the latest historical Atlantic Basin hurricane data through the end of the 2018 season
  • New historical event reconstructions from recent hurricane seasons
  • Vulnerability updates to select primary and secondary characteristics, as well as specialty lines to reflect new RMS building research, hurricane claims data, and Institute of Business and Home Safety (IBHS) research

Cihan Biyikoglu, Executive Vice President of Product at RMS said, “RMS is committed to offering its risk solutions in multiple distribution formats to meet the evolving business needs of the (re)insurance market. Having Version 18.1 North Atlantic Hurricane Models available on both RiskLink and Risk Intelligence (RI) gives clients choice on how they access and make use of this critical market currency to inform their view of hurricane risk.”

For additional details on the RMS North Atlantic Hurricane Models click here.

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Moody’s RMS Intelligent Risk Platform to Build Unified Modeling Architecture to Integrate New Models from ARA, Fathom, JBA Risk Management and Other Risk Modeling Vendors

LONDON – MAY 25, 2023 – Moody’s RMS®, the leading global catastrophe risk modeling and solutions company, is announcing that risk models from Applied Research Associates, Inc. (ARA), Fathom, and JBA Risk Management (JBA) are all to be made available as a technology preview on the Intelligent Risk Platform™ (IRP), following the integration of the IRP into the Nasdaq (Nasdaq: NDAQ) Risk Modelling for Catastrophes (NRMC) service.  This announcement builds on an earlier Moody’s RMS announcement on enhancing the IRP by integrating the NRMC service for Oasis Loss Modelling Framework-based risk models.  When the solution is fully developed, and subject to the necessary agreements being put in place between Moody's RMS and its partners for the integration, customers who subscribe to the solution will be able to use Moody’s RMS Intelligent Risk Platform applications such as Risk Modeler™, UnderwriteIQ™, and TreatyIQ™ for unified execution of Moody’s RMS models, as well as ARA, Fathom, and JBA Risk Management models, running on the Nasdaq modeling service based on the Oasis Loss Modelling Framework (LMF), and other custom models and modeling engines. George Freimarck, Business Leader for Catastrophe Models at ARA, said: “North Atlantic hurricane remains the single largest region-peril risk for most property insurers. The ability to directly incorporate and blend results from multiple credible hurricane models on a single platform will help clients understand and manage that risk. The integration of ARA models into the IRP opens a wide range of options and possibilities for risk professionals and clients while removing burdensome technology integration.” Dr. Andrew Smith, Co-Founder, and Chief Operations Officer at Fathom, said: “We welcome the ecosystem innovation that Moody’s RMS, working with Nasdaq, is bringing to the risk market, model users, and modelers. We believe it will be incredibly attractive for customers to access multiple views of risk through the same interface, so we were excited when Moody’s RMS approached Fathom to help test the modeling engine’s capabilities and for our flood model to become one of the first to be integrated into the IRP." "The standardizing and simplifying of multi-vendor exposure and results data offers greater flexibility and efficiencies for risk professionals. All model users, and all those transacting in risk, will gain from friction-free model interoperability and unification of risk standards that this will deliver.” Jane Toothill, Managing Director at JBA Risk Management, said: “We are excited to see the integration of Moody’s IRP into Nasdaq’s NRMC as it means our suite of global flood models will be more easily accessible to mutual clients. The ability to run multiple models on the same platform will provide many benefits to the insurance and risk industries." "Greater modeling flexibility, improved efficiencies, and streamlined costs of ownership will all make significant differences, and by helping clients build reliance and promote mitigation measures, insurers can better prepare themselves and their clients against potentially catastrophic events.” Cihan Biyikoglu, Executive Vice President - Product, at Moody’s RMS, said: “With this initiative, we are hoping to create more opportunities for innovation in the global risk market, and we are delighted to be working with ARA, Fathom, and JBA. Moody’s RMS recognizes that customers often want to incorporate multiple models for a multitude of reasons, including hedging model risk and creating their own view of risk for a differentiated risk strategy." "We are making this much easier for our clients by allowing them to consolidate their modeling systems into a single unified experience and limiting the burden of complex data conversion between different exposure and loss data formats." "This will help them to free up IT budgets dedicated to maintaining multiple modeling environments, as well as allowing their catastrophe modelers better insights for risk selection, pricing, and transfer decisions. We are also working with additional model vendors and look forward to further announcements as this initiative continues to accelerate.” To learn more about third-party modeling on the Moody’s RMS Intelligent Risk Platform, please visit rms.com. END About Moody’s RMS Moody’s RMS shapes the world’s view of risk for insurers, reinsurers, financial services organizations, and the public sector, with Moody’s RMS models underlying the nearly $2 trillion USD Property and Casualty industry. Moody’s RMS empowers organizations to evaluate and manage global risk from natural and man-made catastrophes, including hurricanes, earthquakes, floods, climate change, cyber, and pandemics. Moody’s RMS helped pioneer the catastrophe risk industry and continues to lead in innovation, unmatched science, technology, and 300+ catastrophe risk models. Organizations can address the risks of tomorrow with the Intelligent Risk Platform™, the only open cloud with collaborative applications and unified analytics that can power risk management excellence.  Further supporting the industry’s transition to modern risk management, in 2020, Moody’s RMS spearheaded the Risk Data Open Standard (RDOS), a modern, open-standard data schema designed to be an extensible and flexible asset within modeling/analysis systems.  In 2021, Moody’s Corporation acquired Risk Management Solutions, Inc. and as part of Moody’s Analytics, Moody’s RMS serves the P&C insurance industry as the leading provider of expertise, science, and technology in integrated risk. A trusted solutions partner, Moody’s RMS enables effective risk management for better business decision-making across risk identification and selection, mitigation, underwriting, and portfolio management.  Visit RMS.com to learn more and follow us on LinkedIn and Twitter. ©2023 Risk Management Solutions, Inc. and/or its affiliates and licensors (“Moody’s RMS”). All rights reserved. All names, logos, and icons identifying Moody’s RMS and/or its products and services are trademarks of Risk Management Solutions, Inc. and/or its licensors or affiliates. Third-party trademarks referenced herein are the property of their respective owners. Risk Management Solutions, Inc. is a subsidiary of Moody’s Corporation (NYSE: MCO) and operates as part of the Moody’s Analytics business segment. Moody’s Analytics is operationally and legally separate from the Moody’s Investors Service credit rating agency. About ARA Applied Research Associates, Inc. (ARA) was founded in 1979, in Albuquerque, New Mexico, to offer science and engineering research to solve problems of national importance. ARA delivers leading-edge products and innovative solutions for national defense, energy, homeland security, aerospace, healthcare, transportation, manufacturing, and insurance. ARA’s wind engineering expertise and its state-of-the-art hurricane model, HurLoss®, provide an independent and highly respected view of hurricane risk to structural engineers, emergency managers, energy producers, and property insurers. With over 1,700 employee-owners at locations in the U.S. and Canada, ARA offers a broad range of technical expertise in defense technologies, civil engineering, computer software and simulation, systems analysis, biomedical engineering, environmental technologies, and blast testing and measurement. For more information, visit https://ara.com About Fathom Fathom gives risk management professionals the most scientifically robust tools and intelligence for understanding the climate’s impact on water risk. By publishing cutting-edge, peer-reviewed academic research and applying it to real-world challenges, Fathom powers better decision-making for (re)insurance, financial markets, corporate risk, civil engineering, disaster response, and government. Fathom’s dedicated team of scientists harness their passion for innovation and the environment to develop rigorous catastrophe models and comprehensive mapping and geospatial data that make a real-world difference to customers and communities worldwide. For more information visit https://www.fathom.global About JBA Risk Management JBA Risk Management is the global leader in flood risk science. Offering best-in-class flood maps, models, analytics, and consultancy services to help users understand flood risk today and in the future, JBA works with some of the world’s largest organizations in the insurance and financial sectors, including mortgage providers, property search companies, governments, the international banking community, and NGOs. With a collaborative team of expert scientists, hydrologists, mathematicians, and engineers, JBA uses pioneering science to stay at the forefront of flood modeling innovation. Headquartered in the U.K. with offices in Asia Pacific, the U.S. and Europe, JBA Risk Management is part of the JBA Group, which was founded in 1995.  For more information, visit https://jbarisk.com  

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February 23, 2023
Moody’s RMS Estimates Total Economic and Insured Losses from the Turkey Earthquakes Likely to Exceed US$25 Billion and US$5 Billion Respectively

NEWARK, CA – February 23, 2023 – Moody’s RMS®, the leading global catastrophe risk modeling and solutions company, estimates economic losses from the moment magnitude (Mw) Mw7.8 and Mw7.5 earthquakes that struck southern Turkey on Monday, February 6 are likely to exceed US$25 billion (TL₺471 billion), and the total insured loss is likely to exceed US$5 billion (TL₺94 billion). These loss estimates reflect the impact of the earthquakes in Turkey only; losses in Syria are not included. The insured losses include those to private insurers as well as to the Turkish Catastrophe Insurance Pool (TCIP).   The loss estimates are based on an analysis of the earthquake sequence using Moody’s RMS Europe Earthquake Models and reflect damage to property and contents, and business interruption, across residential, commercial, and industrial lines in Turkey. These estimates do not include post-event loss amplification or losses to non-modeled exposures such as transport and utility infrastructure. On Monday, February 6, an Mw7.8 earthquake struck east of the Turkish city of Nurdaği, triggering a strong earthquake sequence. This included an Mw7.5 earthquake that struck south-southeast of Ekinözü, Turkey. These earthquakes occurred in southern Turkey near the northern border with Syria, causing widespread and severe damage across Turkey and northern Syria, with shaking felt as far away as Lebanon, Cyprus, Israel, and the State of Palestine. The events ruptured multiple faults across the broad East Anatolia fault zone. The region is recognized as having a high earthquake hazard, with multiple earthquakes of Mw7.0 or greater since the nineteenth century. Nilesh Shome, Vice President of Earthquake Model Development at Moody’s RMS said: “The earthquakes ruptured geometrically complex faults with multiple branches and were part of an active sequence that included over 400 events of Mw4 or greater. It is very unusual for an earthquake to trigger another event of such a magnitude as the Mw7.5 earthquake. The two largest earthquakes generated significant ground motions, and many areas were impacted by both events.” The devastation was widespread. According to the Turkish Ministry of Environment, Urbanization, and Climate Change[1], 11 provinces were severely affected by the earthquakes, and the damage was worst in Gaziantep, Hatay, and Kahramanmaraş. As of February 22, over 335,000 buildings are reported to have been damaged. A unique contributor to the overall loss is that most of the economic losses due to shaking can be attributed to structures with severe damage that have either already collapsed or will require demolition. Observations from early damage reports issued by the Turkish Ministry of Environment, Urbanization, and Climate Change, and Turkish research reconnaissance[2] indicate a systemic lack of adherence to seismic provisions, including government ‘amnesty’ programs[3] that have allowed continued occupancy of structures that do not meet seismic design requirements. Ongoing research will aim to understand the full extent of these code lapses, together with any future code updates and enforcement mechanisms that could arise from this event. Moody's RMS anticipates that any tightening of the codes or more stringent enforcement will likely increase repair and rebuild times, especially as the number of destroyed structures is so extensive. The damage reports to date suggest that mid- and high-rise buildings contribute significantly to the overall event loss. The road to recovery in Turkey will take several years due to the scale of the damage, and complex macroeconomic conditions that existed prior to the events, including significant inflation, will hamper the reconstruction and add to the overall costs. Laura Barksby, Product Manager, Moody’s RMS, concluded: “The events highlighted the devastation that can arise when large magnitude events coincide with vulnerable building stock. We continue to learn from each significant earthquake, and the events in Turkey act as a wake-up call for other earthquake-prone regions, particularly concerning the true quality of the building stock.”   END   The technology and data used in providing this information are based on the scientific data, mathematical and empirical models, and encoded experience of scientists and specialists. As with any model of physical systems, particularly those with low frequencies of occurrence and potentially high severity outcomes, the actual losses from catastrophic events may differ from the results of simulation analyses. MOODY’S RMS SPECIFICALLY DISCLAIMS ANY AND ALL RESPONSIBILITIES, OBLIGATIONS, AND LIABILITY WITH RESPECT TO ANY DECISIONS OR ADVICE MADE OR GIVEN AS A RESULT OF THIS INFORMATION OR USE THEREOF, INCLUDING ALL WARRANTIES, WHETHER EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO, WARRANTIES OF NON-INFRINGEMENT, MERCHANTABILITY AND FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. IN NO EVENT SHALL MOODY’S RMS (OR ITS PARENT, SUBSIDIARY, OR OTHER AFFILIATED COMPANIES) BE LIABLE FOR DIRECT, INDIRECT, SPECIAL, INCIDENTAL, OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES WITH RESPECT TO ANY DECISIONS OR ADVICE MADE OR GIVEN AS A RESULT OF THE CONTENTS OF THIS INFORMATION OR USE THEREOF.   [1] Source: https://www.csb.gov.tr/ [2] Source: Middle East Technical University Preliminary Reconnaissance Report on February 6, 2023 [3] Source: Construction Amnesty

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About Moody's RMS

Moody’s RMS shapes the world’s view of risk for insurers, reinsurers, financial services organizations, and the public sector, with Moody’s RMS models underlying the nearly $2 trillion USD Property & Casualty industry. Moody’s RMS empowers organizations to evaluate and manage global risk from natural and man-made catastrophes, including hurricanes, earthquakes, floods, climate change, cyber, and pandemics.

Moody’s RMS helped pioneer the catastrophe risk industry, and continues to lead in innovation, unmatched science, technology, and 300+ catastrophe risk models. Organizations can address the risks of tomorrow with the Intelligent Risk Platform™, the only open cloud with collaborative applications and unified analytics that can power risk management excellence.

Further supporting the industry’s transition to modern risk management, in 2020, Moody’s RMS spearheaded the Risk Data Open Standard (RDOS), a modern, open-standard data schema designed to be an extensible and flexible asset within modeling/analysis systems.

In 2021, Moody’s Corporation acquired Risk Management Solutions, Inc. and as part of Moody’s Analytics, Moody’s RMS serves the P&C insurance industry as the leading provider of expertise, science, and technology in integrated risk. A trusted solutions partner, Moody’s RMS enables effective risk management for better business decision-making across risk identification and selection, mitigation, underwriting, and portfolio management.

Visit RMS.com to learn more and follow us on LinkedIn and Twitter.

© 2023 Risk Management Solutions, Inc. and/or its affiliates and licensors (“Moody’s RMS”). All rights reserved. All names, logos, and icons identifying Moody’s RMS and/or its products and services are trademarks of Risk Management Solutions, Inc. and/or its licensors or affiliates. Third-party trademarks referenced herein are the property of their respective owners.

RMS is a subsidiary of Moody’s Corporation (NYSE: MCO) and operates as part of the Moody’s Analytics business segment. Moody’s Analytics is operationally and legally separate from the Moody’s Investors Service credit rating agency.

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+44 20 7444 7706 prteam@rms.com

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