Author Archives: Maurizio Gobbato

Maurizio Gobbato

About Maurizio Gobbato

Principal Modeler and Manager

Maurizio is part of the earthquake vulnerability team at RMS and he recently led the development of the North America and Japan Fire Following Earthquake Models as well as the U.S. Earthquake Workers’ Compensation model. He joined RMS in 2012 after a postdoctoral research position on Fatigue Structural Health Monitoring and Damage Prognosis of mechanical systems at the University of California, San Diego (UCSD). Maurizio holds a bachelor’s degree in Civil Engineering from the University of Padova (Italy), and a masters and Ph.D. degrees in Structural Engineering from UCSD.

The HayWired Earthquake Scenario: An RMS View on Fire Following Earthquake Risk

New findings into the effect of a magnitude 7.0 earthquake originating from the 74 mile-long (119 kilometer) Hayward Fault in the California Bay Area, suggests that fire following earthquake alone could see more than 52,000 single-family homes burn. Earlier this month, the United States Geological Survey (USGS) released new results for their HayWired scenario, a scientifically plausible magnitude 7.0 earthquake on the Hayward fault. The hypothetical HayWired earthquake occurs at 4:18 p.m. on April 18, 2018, the anniversary of the magnitude  7.8 earthquake which struck San Francisco in 1906. The mainshock ruptures the fault along its length for about 52 miles (83 kilometers). The impact of such an event on one of the most densely populated and interconnected areas of the U.S. West Coast — with a population of about seven million people — would be disruptive.

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