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Exposure Accumulation

Terrorism Scenario Model

Probabilistic Terrorism Model

Global Terrorism Risk Model

   
 

Terrorism Scenario Model

The RMS® Global Terrorism Scenario Model is used to analyze specific scenario results at any location in the world. The model is available in RiskLink® and RiskBrowser® and can be used for property, workers comp, or multi-line accumulations. The RMS® U.S. Terrorism Scenario Model is also available for users who only need this functionality within the U.S.

The Terrorism Scenario Model employs state-of-the-art methods for quantifying the impact of a range of potential terrorist attacks, from conventional weapons to chemical, biological, radiological, or nuclear (CBRN) weapons. The user has the flexibility to select any location as a target for an attack, as well as using the spider functionality to determine which footprint locations will produce the largest losses.

Model Highlights
Geographic scope: Global
Lines of business: Property (building, contents, business interruption) and workers comp; output can be applied to life, health, personal accident, and accidental death and dismemberment loss quantification

Exposure Data Resolution

Analyses can be done at each of the following levels of geographic resolution: Latitude/Longitude, Building (U.S. only), Street Address, or ZIP Code. Other comparable resolutions are available outside the U.S.

Conventional Attack Modes Modeled
Bomb (600 lb, 1 ton, 2 ton, 5 ton, 10 ton): The selected scenarios each consist of a bomb made from conventional Ammonium Nitrate Fuel-Oil (ANFO) explosives, delivered using a truck or other vehicle, and detonated as close to the target as possible
Aircraft Impact: 747 commercial/cargo airliner hijacked and flown into a target with full fuel load
Conflagration: 9000-gallon gasoline tanker hijacked, driven into the service bay of a major commercial building, and set on fire
Sabotage – Industrial Plant: Sabotage attack on a chemical facility sufficient to cause an explosion and/or toxic cloud release (3 magnitudes)

CBRN Attack Modes Modeled
Chemical – Sarin Gas: Sarin gas released into the ventilation system of a target building, including high-rise commercial buildings, airports, and metro systems; and sarin gas released into a populated business or shopping district (3 magnitudes)
Chemical – Hazmat Transportation: Sabotage of a train carrying chlorine gas. 90 tons of gas released into the air around locations where hazmat rail lines cross commuter rail lines with the ability to cause damage in a major city (1 magnitude, 8 wind directions)
Biological – Anthrax Attack: Weaponized anthrax released into the ventilation system of a target building, including high-rise commercial buildings, airports, and metro systems; and anthrax spores released into a populated business or shopping district (3 magnitudes)
Radiological - Dirty Bomb: A dirty bomb detonated in a major city center (2 magnitudes)
Nuclear Bomb: A nuclear device detonated in a major city center (2 magnitudes)
Sabotage – Nuclear Facility: Sabotage attack on a nuclear power station or radioactive storage facility sufficient to cause a release of radioactive steam (3 magnitudes)

 

 

Related Information

Accumulation Management Brochure
Managing Terrorism Risk
 

 

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